Trotsky Sucks. Clark Loses. Dean Wins

Good luck demonstrating this.

Of course, I wasn’t commenting on nutcases; I was talking about your run-of-the-mill violent criminals.

There are no good reasons to own lots of guns.

Just a hint: this argument will work on neither LPFab nor myself. Inasmuch as we support a default policy position of “freedom,” an absense of “good” reasons for behavior isn’t going to convince us to outlaw it. Starting from the position that personal preference (i.e., economic freedom) is unimportant, I could, for example, fairly easily demonstrate that collecting automobiles should be illegal. Or, for that matter, collecting anything. There are objectively negative results (leaving out jobs creating whatever is being collected) of collecting anything, and no objectively “good” reasons to do so.

This is because “good” is completely subjective. What you mean is that you see no good reason to own a lot of guns. Fortunately, freedom doesn’t mean everyone doing whatever Detritus IX thinks is good.

Firstly, you’re never going to be fighting with more than one gun. Having extras is just ridiculous.

Again, cars. Or, say, anything else.

Second, there’s no reason at all for you to own milspec gear except for armed insurrection. Trot pointed out the sheer ridiculousness of wanting an assault rifle so that you could mow down rioters. Wake up. You are not Duke Nukem. You are not the guy in Postal. You are not Judge fucking Dredd.

I am going to address this issue specially, and I am going to try to address a failing that runs throughout this post. That is, it is utterly clear that you have no concept of the use of guns in relation to personal/property defense. A person does not buy a gun so that he can shoot criminals, even if the purpose of the gun is purely self-defense. The gun is for deterence, plain and simple.

Now, let’s talk about rioters. Let us say that you own a small store in a major city. It is probable that your entire life is in this store; it represents your entire net worth. Suppose that a riot occurs, and rioters are looting/burning/destroying stores. So, you wish to stop a large number of people from destroying your life. What do you think will stop this crowd of people: a pump action shotgun, or an assualt rifle? The purpose of the rifle is not to shoot the rioters; in fact, shooting rioters would be illegal anyway, so your first hope is just to get them to go away. The purpose of the rifle is to convince them to do this. You cannot defend a building from a crowd with a shotgun, and crowds know this. You can, however, defend that building with a rifle.

You want to collect guns? Fine. Get the chambers filled in so that they’ll never fire another shot.

You want to go hunting? Keep your guns at the lodge. And rifles only, punk.

Again . . . cars. Also, “You want freedom? Go to hell.”

You want some home invasions statistics?

In 2% of home invasions against gun owners, the owners of the house get to use their gun against the intruder.

It is more than twice as likely for the criminal to take the homeowner’s gun and shoot him with it

In the vast majority of cases, the gun remains in a drawer somewhere while the robbing or the raping or whatever goes on unimpeded. How useful.

Unfortunately, none of this is relevent. The important question is: do stricter gun laws increase or decrease the number of home invasions? Because what you have shown is that, for the average intrusion, the result will be the same whether or not a gun is owned. Therefore, if break-ins go down when gun laws become less strict, then less strict gun laws are better than more strict gun laws.

And, empirically, home invasions do in fact go down.

This, again, is because the purpose of a gun in your home is not for you to shoot criminals. It is to convince criminals not to come into your home in the first place.

Next, most violent criminals are poor. They cannot afford to buy guns. How, then, do they get guns? Well, most of them are stolen from the homes of people like you. That’s right, the vast majority of guns on the black market are brought into circulation thanks to itinerat gun-nuts.

So . . . ? The solution to this is better gun security within those homes. The impossibility of eliminating guns will be discussed more later.

Also, guns in homes add a whole new level of deadliness to domestic disputes. Look at statistics on violence in the homes of police officers, who are forced to keep guns at home. Instead of cooling off, pull out your gun and blow the bitch’s brains out! A means of dealing certain death at your fingertips changes everything, and not for the better.

Unfortunately for you, this argument hinges on a very small number of cases. The number of crimes that are stopped through gun ownership is far greater. And, by the way, not all uses of a gun for self-defence occur within the home(or even most, or many . . . I mean, invading a home is pretty idiotic, and as such most robberies take place either outside, i.e. muggings, or inside businesses).

Finally, your arguments are all empirically denied, as has been pointed out. Look, if you will, to the UK, or Canada or Japan, or especially Australia, which recently implemented gun control (and don’t try to respond with that retarded myth about gun murders increasing in australia after the ban. Snopes.com has already debunked that, and besides: the Australia institute of criminology has statistics that tell a different story.)

This geographical argument is senseless. Look, if you will, at Russia or Brazil. Or, on the other end of things, take a quick look at Switzerland. Or look within the U.S. Where are there more gun laws: Washington, D.C. or Wyoming? And where are there more murders? Or look at major cities in the western (or “gun-nut”) United States versus those on the eastern side of the nation.

You, right now, are like a church official proclaiming that the world is flat, after Magellan has just finished sailing round it. These other countries watch Dead Alive and play GTA III, and yet don’t go killing each other with guns. Because they don’t have them. No matter how logical you may consider your arguments, they have still been proven wrong. You have a less valid argument than fucking creationists.

I have never blamed the murder rate on GTA III, or any other media. But, I’m sorry, you’re just wrong. There is no reason to expect that murder rates in different nations, or even in different parts of the same nation, can be sensibly compared. The only important facts in this debate are the changes in crime rates after serious changes in gun restrictions. Notice that what are important here are crime rates, not just murder rates. There is no reason to expect murder rates to substantially change, since murders are already commited with illegally owned guns, and murder is one of the more difficult crimes to defend against. It is a lot less likely that you will be able to defend yourself against an attempted murder than an attempted robbery.

Good thing that you can’t grow guns in your back yard. Or that poor columbians can’t raise guns as a cash crop. Or that guns can’t be easily hidden.

Can’t be easily hidden? How about by taking them apart and packaging them in with machine parts? Further, guns, unlike drugs, cannot be searched for by dogs. Also, by quantity the demand for criminal guns is far lower than that for drugs. Even if smuggling guns were harder than drugs, and it isn’t, demand would still be easily met. And even if guns were illegal plenty would still be made (for police, here and abroad; for militaries; for countries with less restictive gun laws).

Drugs are a whole different ballgame. They are wanted by teens for disposable pleasure, rather than for long term security by middle-aged adults. There is an entirely different network of supply and distribution.

Can we say “false analogy?”

No, we can’t. Of course the supply situation is different; guns a legal and drugs aren’t. Remember prohibition? The network for supply and distribution of alcohol changed (and rapidly) to accomodate the new laws. There is no reason to suspect that the change would be any different for guns. Further, it wouldn’t be your average adults looking for guns for self-defense; go to a place where guns a illegal and see how many otherwise law-abiding individuals own them. It would be criminals, and criminals, on average, know quite a bit about the supply and distribution system for drugs.

I supported the war in Afganistan. But as soon as it stopped being glamorous, we forgot about them. Afganistan is sliding into a pit of tiny autocracies, our warlord allies showing their true colors at last. The ‘democratic government’ has no power once you get a few miles away from the capital.

We got bored and abandoned an entire fucking nation. And surprise, surprise. It’s going to the crapper.

Things take time. The world is not magic. A functioning democracy in the capitol will allow for the spread of that government, with foreign support.

Let’s get a source on that, chum. Because the prevailing view is that Rumsfeld told the CIA what he wanted them to conclude, and made them do it. British and American intelligence personnel have been speaking up across the board about how there was no credible intelligence, but that the political leader couldn’t have cared less.

Really . . . was he in there telling them that when Clinton was President? Did he tell German intelligence also (they say Saddam would have been nuclear within five years)? Of course intelligence personel are coming out now; they look like idiots, and they are covering their asses.

Why should we assume that he had WMDs? Because he was the kind of guy who would have wanted them? You’re just grasping for straws. This is truly pathetic. It would be idiotic in the extreme to assume WMDs with nothing more than the word of Ahmed Chalabi.

Why shouldn’t we assume that he had them? Because he was such a nice, honest fellow who had fully accounted for all the weapons he had in the past? Further, it is undeniable that he had the knowledge and resources to cook up a sizable batch of biological and/or chemical weapons. The time required to make such weapons, once you are in possession of the requisite items and expertise, is not significant. So, a much more logical conclusion is that he destroyed the weapons just before the war, as it would be easy to recreate such weapons later, after the U.S. had pulled a Vietnam-style retreat under domestic criticism.

Uh oh, a minute ago, you said that we attacked Saddam because he was a threat to the United States. Hmm. Now we are fighting for Justice!

I would never claim that he was threat to the U.S. He was a threat to international stability, but even instability is not a threat to the U.S., excepting economic concerns. Of course, Hitler wasn’t a threat to the U.S. either. Saddam could have created and/or sold weapons to terrorists, who would then use them against the U.S., killing large numbers of people. But killing U.S. citizens does not really put the larger “United States” in danger; no one is about to destroy the U.S. At the same time, I would rather that those citizens weren’t killed, and I would rather that international stability were maintained, so I would rather that Iraq be under a government less liable to make and use such weapons.

Except that we didn’t know about the killings until after the war. Why? Because we had no post-gulf war intelligence on Iraq. We had no idea what the fuck he was doing. Which is why it was idiotic to attack him based on guesses and rumors.

“Well, we don’t know exactly, so he’s probably just holding tea parties and charity balls.” Don’t be stupid. It was far more responsible, in the absense of large quantities of information, to assume that his behavior was the same as before. This is why prisoners up for parole have a hearing; the default assumption is that their behaviors have not changed, and without credible information to the contrary theyt are not released. Of course, lack of information is its own kind of intelligence; the U.S. knows, and knew then, that the situation inside Iraq wasn’t great, so a total lack of political dissent is a pretty disturbing sign. Beyond that, those few Iraqis who were able to escape the nation gave pretty disturbing accounts of what was taking place within. So, it isn’t as though the U.S. knew nothing.

As for nukes, though it is, of course, impossible to prove a negative, just before the invasion, Saddam agreed to allow U.S. troops to do weapons inspections. This may have turned out to be bullshit, but the fact that the Bush administration ignored the offer shows that they regarded the time before the war as mere public relations pacification rather than any real deliberation.

No one has said that Saddam had nukes. He may have wanted a nuclear program, but nukes are expensive and hard to create. What the U.S. maintained that he had was chemical and biological agents.

Of course the administration was not deliberating war for that whole time. Look, if you expect each new administration to start from scratch on foreign policy, you are being foolish. Bush knew that Clinton, and before him Bush Sr, had wasted over a decade playing with Saddam. The U.S. wasn’t going to put up with his nonsense. The time before the war was for two purposes: try to convince the rest of the world to support the war (obviously impossible; once these countries knew we would act with or without their support they knew that they could effectively get the benefits if a world without Sadddam and reap the domestic benefits of thumbing their noses at the U.S. at the same time. Of course they weren’t going to support the action), and give Saddam one last chance to avoid war. His midnight offer of inspections, an offer that did not meet the demands made of him, was rightfully ignored.

Oh, and if you read the New York Times, then you’d know that new evidence has come to light suggesting that Saddam planned the whole thing so far. He let his army crumple like a wet paper bag while hiding millions, if not billions of dollars, and secreting conventional weapons around iraq in pockets for his autonomous guerilla cells. He then planned his hiding carefully.

If you think about it, it was the only viable option for him in the face of overwhelming US power on the battlefield. But we played right into his hands. Because our country is run by fucktards.

New evidence? This has long been the opinion of many conservatives, myself included. Of course that was his plan; how would you propose the U.S. could have stopped him from carrying it out? “Oh, Saddam might do something smart to make this harder on us, he might not fight a conventional war like an idiot, I guess that we shouldn’t remove him from power after all.” Doesn’t that sound pretty stupid? This is still not a very difficult or dangerous fight, in objective terms. The only thing that “plays into his hands” is behaving as if this strategy is suprising (instead of obvious), brilliant (instead of obvious), and a serious danger to U.S. success (instead of, well, not a danger), thereby fulfilling the final element of the strategy, the element you so cleverly omitted to mention: U.S. retreat due to domestic political pressue, pressue being formented by people like you. And, actually, the U.S. did try to escape this outcome by attempting to kill Saddam directly the night the war started, as well as other times during the war itself. That the U.S. failed is more a matter of bad luck than of U.S. leaders being “fucktards.”

One can be opposed to Saddam and also opposed to idiotic uses of unilateral power to violate other nation’s sovreignity. And our views have been validated by the aftereffects of the war and our failure to fix up Iraq.

Failure? In a period of months? How long were we in Germany? How long in Japan? Fixing things takes time. Dear god, you are like a pampered child. “Mommy, it’s hard, do I have to?”

Nation’s sovereignty my ass; we are restoring sovereignty to the nation by removing power from the hands of the dictator that had been running it.

Also, note that our attack on Saddam caused North Korea to (quite rightly) feel threatened. Diplomatic talks collapsed and they went nuclear. They are a real threat to world security, and their populace suffers far more than the Iraqis ever did. Pity the current administration is only interested in antagonizing them with tough-guy posturing.

They were already nuclear! For Christ’s sake, pull your head out of your ass. They’re worried? Good! Maybe they’ll stop using their citiznes as slaves and threatening to invade South Korea. So, we didn’t pay them their bribe money to keep lying about their nuclear program, and as such they stopped lying. Excuse me for not being upset. Yeah, and pity about the current administration, since Clinton’s coddling stupidity worked such wonders on that nation.

One more thing. Since you’re so fond of the New York Times, I’d like to refer you to:

This is an interesting reference for people who think the Iraqi operation is such a dramatic failure.

A few main messages emerge. For starters, violence against coalition troops has increased as the occupation has lengthened and, in regard to the all-important objective of winning Iraqi hearts and minds, unemployment rates are still too high. However, most other trends are encouraging — declining crime rates in Baghdad, increasing numbers of Iraqi police officers being trained, and telephone and water services at about 80 percent of pre-war levels.

Well, seeing as the point of the war was to find their weapons of mass destruction so they don’t kill Americans, not to make their telephones better…I’m going to say: still a failure.

That was A point of the war.

From Colin Powell, February 2002: “With respect to Iraq, it has long been, for several years now, a policy of the United States government that regime change would be in the best interests of the region, the best interests of the Iraqi people… And we are looking at a variety of options that would bring that about.”

Another point was removing Saddam Hussein from power, which is done. And we’re doing a bang up job of putting things back together. I’m glad you get to just ignore the reasons presented that you don’t like (mainly, I suspect, because they don’t make Bush look nearly so bad as you’d like him to). In your quest to discredit the Bush administration any way you can, you ignore the very real good that has been accomplished and is still being accomplished.

Ehh, I’m happy the country is being put back together.

I’m not so happy about the people dying, and choppers crashing, and billions of dollars being spent over there instead of over here, and such…

Wow, you people sure love talking. I find it interesting that, aside from voting, you take no active part in the events you so vividly defend here, and do nothing to stop the things which you so hate.

And really, LPfabulous, are you seriously saying that guns don’t raise crime? I bet you would even be opposed to a year-long prohibition to see what the effects are on society and crime. (Hint: there will be less shoot-outs)

Man, you remind me of the Republican presidential candidate from Head of State. His campaign slogan was “God bless America, and no place else.” I always found it odd that that was the Republican slogan, given the Democratic party’s propensity toward protectionism and impotent foreign policy. Here again, in fact, I see somebody from the more-or-less Democratic side of political philosophy, saying that America should take care of its own petty problems, and the rest of the world can go to Hell. Well, Trot, that’s just great. I don’t know what you would have the money spent on, but the Democrat Nine have some great ideas - all of which show just how little (that is, not at all) they care about anyone who can’t vote for them, or at least whose parents can’t. They want to put more teachers in America’s schools. Meanwhile, Iraq needs schools to put teachers in. Democrats want to improve America’s hospitals - hospitals that are, mind you, by far the best in the world. Iraq needs to build hospitals. They want to improve America’s roads. I’ve been on America’s roads. They don’t need improvement. Iraq’s roads, on the other hand, could certainly use some help. Finally, they want to work on America’s electricity grid. Why? Because for about ten minutes this summer some Americans couldn’t watch the Cartoon Network. Never mind that electricity is no different from any other service; if Americans in the north-east want their grid fixed, it doesn’t make any sense to ask Americans from Nevada to pay for it. Iraq, of course, barely has an electricity grid.

Iraq has problems, and right now the U.S. is in a position to help them. What the U.S. has are inconveniences. We already have smaller class sizes, better hospitals and roads, and a far more capable electricity grid than any other nation on earth. It just so happens that we also demand more education, more health care, smoother roads, and more electricity than any other nation on earth, and we all want someone else to pay for it. Well, Trot, I think that, even with the whole 20 billion Bush wants to spend, the U.S. will still have better schools, hospitals, roads, and eletrical systems than Iraq.

The people dying and the choppers crashing, well, we’ve been over this. I think that it is worth it. You don’t.

Of course, I would love it if you would suggest a way to build Iraq without the people, or the helicopters, or the money.

Oh, and incidentally, if “God bless America, and no place else” actually is your political philosophy, let me know. I wrote this post under the assumption that it wasn’t, so if it is I apologize. Obviously, if it is your position that America should help only Americans, then under your philosophy the action in Iraq is entirely wrong, and I can understand that.

Loan them the money either low interest or no interest.

They sell oil, make cash money, they pay us back.

That will solve my problems with the money side of things…although not the dying side of things.

And here’s something I don’t get. You libertarians think that we shouldn’t spend taxpayer money to fix an electrical grid somewhere else in the US…but we should spend taxpayer money to fix the electrical grid…IN A WHOLE DIFFERENT NATION?

That’s pretty…cool of you guys…

And I don’t think “God Bless America and nothing else,” but I do think: “Help Americans first, then take care of the rest of those jokers.” Blah blah, still Americans without health insurance, still Americans without adequate nutrition/homes/jobs/etc. Or maybe if taxes to the rich weren’t cut all to bejesus, we’d have more than enough money to rebuild Iraq, AND give poor kids in this country basic health insurance.

I just didn’t support this war for certain reasons (which I’ve gone over), and now I’m upset that we’ve got to spend money and lives on trying to rebuild the nation.

This is like someone buying you a shitty car that you didn’t want, in your name, and now you’ve got to spend your own money to fix it, and at points, it kills your friends/family/pets.

The buying of the car was bad, so now the extra fun I get to have with the car doesn’t really make me feel any better about the purchasing of the car in the first place…even if the money I spend makes the car better (and even if the car was then going to be donated to an orphanage or something).

What do you mean? What am I supposed to do? Run for office?

And really, LPfabulous, are you seriously saying that guns don’t raise crime? I bet you would even be opposed to a year-long prohibition to see what the effects are on society and crime. (Hint: there will be less shoot-outs)

Actually, what I’m saying is that private possession of guns reduces crime. There is statistical correlation for this position that I find strikingly less dubious than the correlation for the opposite position (mainly because it doesn’t rely on data from other countries with different situations). Also, of course I would be opposed to a year-long prohibition to see what the effects are. I’m well aware of what the effects were when alcohol underwent prohibition, and the current prohibitions of drugs and prostitution. I think a year of prohibition of guns in the United States would be so disastrous as to be totally and completely unwarranted.

Loans are a reasonable policy, but one I am not particularly comfortable with. I am among the conservative minority who sides with Bono on the issue of forgiving Third World debt, and I think establishing a debt cycle in Iraq is bad policy.

We pumped tons of cash into Europe under the Marshall Plan and we survived it. There’s no reason not to do the same now.

They sell oil, make cash money, they pay us back.

This money would be better used to make their country operate.

And here’s something I don’t get. You libertarians think that we shouldn’t spend taxpayer money to fix an electrical grid somewhere else in the US…but we should spend taxpayer money to fix the electrical grid…IN A WHOLE DIFFERENT NATION?

I don’t know how T feels about this, but I’m under the impression that electrical grids work better when they aren’t run by the state. So I would just rather see the whole thing privatized, in which case the only people who pay for it would be people who use it.

I don’t think this position is inconsistent with a desire to see the United States use money to get the Iraqi electrical grid up and running so that the people of Iraq will have something to pay to fix in the future.

And I don’t think “God Bless America and nothing else,” but I do think: “Help Americans first, then take care of the rest of those jokers.”

I think T’s point here was that Americans don’t really need the help all that badly. Seeing as how the destitute in the United States live better than the middle class in a great many other countries, we aren’t exactly failing all that badly.

Blah blah, still Americans without health insurance, still Americans without adequate nutrition/homes/jobs/etc.

I don’t want to start yet another fight over all this, but I think there are better ways to solve for lack of health care than government funding that destroys the ability of the American health care system to function. Among these are: allow for more medical schools and reduce the stringent restrictions on what nurses are allowed to do. As for the rest, a strong economy is the best way to create those sorts of things, and I don’t think government spending is the best way to create a strong economy in the long run.

Or maybe if taxes to the rich weren’t cut all to bejesus, we’d have more than enough money to rebuild Iraq, AND give poor kids in this country basic health insurance.

Cut all to bejesus? You know how I feel about so-called “tax cuts for the rich,” so we won’t get into that.

Normally I’d just stay out of this, not being inclined to view others as morons and thus ill-equipped for political debate, but this struck me as odd:

Can you see the inconsistancy here? I knew you could! Yes, of course it’s silly for people from Nevada to pay for grid upgrades for people in New York, because New York is a different state from Nevada. Meanwhile, it’s not silly at all for people from both states to pay for the creation of an electrical grid for people in Iraq, which last time I checked was an entirely different country from New York (I’m not sure about Nevada).

I think both projects are dandy things for people from Nevada, New York and even New Hampshire to pay for, thus avoiding the confusion above.

Unfortunately, guns are objects designed with and for the sole purpose of killing. This means that the rules are slightly different. Even with free speech, you can’t yell fire in a theatre. And with no reason beyond ‘personal preference’ to allow guns, I don’t have to establish much of a reason to ban them before the benefits outweigh.

Again, cars. Or, say, anything else.

Comparing guns, designed solely for the purpose of killing, with cars, or any other thing with a useful non-military application is fallacious. Perhaps if you were comparing them with tanks, you might have an argument. But it wouldn’t be the argument you’re looking for.

I am going to address this issue specially, and I am going to try to address a failing that runs throughout this post. That is, it is utterly clear that you have no concept of the use of guns in relation to personal/property defense. A person does not buy a gun so that he can shoot criminals, even if the purpose of the gun is purely self-defense. The gun is for deterence, plain and simple.

Now, let’s talk about rioters. Let us say that you own a small store in a major city. It is probable that your entire life is in this store; it represents your entire net worth. Suppose that a riot occurs, and rioters are looting/burning/destroying stores. So, you wish to stop a large number of people from destroying your life. What do you think will stop this crowd of people: a pump action shotgun, or an assualt rifle? The purpose of the rifle is not to shoot the rioters; in fact, shooting rioters would be illegal anyway, so your first hope is just to get them to go away. The purpose of the rifle is to convince them to do this. You cannot defend a building from a crowd with a shotgun, and crowds know this. You can, however, defend that building with a rifle.

Oh, my mistake. The gun is for waving around and shooting rounds into the air. You envision yourself standing outside your store and waving a gun in the air to scare of the rioting negroes, and you wonder why I think you shouldn’t be allowed to own a gun?

Wait, what are police again?

Judge Dredd is the law. You are not.

Again . . . cars. Also, “You want freedom? Go to hell.”

Tanks are a far better analogy. And you can’t own one.

Unfortunately, none of this is relevent. The important question is: do stricter gun laws increase or decrease the number of home invasions? Because what you have shown is that, for the average intrusion, the result will be the same whether or not a gun is owned. Therefore, if break-ins go down when gun laws become less strict, then less strict gun laws are better than more strict gun laws.

And, empirically, home invasions do in fact go down.

This, again, is because the purpose of a gun in your home is not for you to shoot criminals. It is to convince criminals not to come into your home in the first place.

Look’s like it’s statistic o’clock. Where is it empirically proven that after the removal of gun control laws, home invasions go down?

I can provide cites for gun control laws reducing murder rates internationally and domestically, and that keeping a gun in the home nearly triples the likelyhood of murder, if requested.

Note that that last point turns back your ‘deterrence’ argument. Increased murder rates show that while it might work in theory, in practice it doesn’t do shit.

So . . . ? The solution to this is better gun security within those homes. The impossibility of eliminating guns will be discussed more later.

Gun control is a proven solution, and it is one which avoids the domestic violence problem.

Unfortunately for you, this argument hinges on a very small number of cases. The number of crimes that are stopped through gun ownership is far greater. And, by the way, not all uses of a gun for self-defence occur within the home(or even most, or many . . . I mean, invading a home is pretty idiotic, and as such most robberies take place either outside, i.e. muggings, or inside businesses).

Wow, you pro-gun folks must be pretty sharp if you can measure the number of assaults that never happened because people had guns!

This geographical argument is senseless. Look, if you will, at Russia or Brazil. Or, on the other end of things, take a quick look at Switzerland. Or look within the U.S. Where are there more gun laws: Washington, D.C. or Wyoming? And where are there more murders? Or look at major cities in the western (or “gun-nut”) United States versus those on the eastern side of the nation.

I’m not sure exactly what argument we’re trying to make here. Russia is pretty lawless right now, and frankly, the vory are still calling plenty of shots. I don’t know about Brazil. As for Switzerland:

  1. they have complicated registration laws for handguns
  2. their milspec assault rifles are kept locked up, and all the ammunition is required to be accounted for.
  3. They still have the second-highest firearm murder rate in the entire industrialized world, nearly triple that of #3, Canada. (though still much less than the U.S. Looks like gun security is better than nothing, but still not as good as gun control).

Not only is switzerland another argument for gun control, but it also disproves your ‘gun security’ argument. Whoops!

And for U.S. cities, I know that D.C. gun control laws have reduced the murder rate there. I have no idea about Wyoming. Oh, and numbers of murders aren’t as relevant as percentages per population.

I have never blamed the murder rate on GTA III, or any other media. But, I’m sorry, you’re just wrong. There is no reason to expect that murder rates in different nations, or even in different parts of the same nation, can be sensibly compared. The only important facts in this debate are the changes in crime rates after serious changes in gun restrictions. Notice that what are important here are crime rates, not just murder rates. There is no reason to expect murder rates to substantially change, since murders are already commited with illegally owned guns, and murder is one of the more difficult crimes to defend against. It is a lot less likely that you will be able to defend yourself against an attempted murder than an attempted robbery.

  1. See: Canada, Australia.
  2. that makes murder a better indicator, not a worse one, of the effectiveness of gun control. If they go down, then gun control must be having an effect on illegally owned guns.

I don’t have armed robbery rates. Do you have some to show me?

Can’t be easily hidden? How about by taking them apart and packaging them in with machine parts? Further, guns, unlike drugs, cannot be searched for by dogs. Also, by quantity the demand for criminal guns is far lower than that for drugs. Even if smuggling guns were harder than drugs, and it isn’t, demand would still be easily met. And even if guns were illegal plenty would still be made (for police, here and abroad; for militaries; for countries with less restictive gun laws).

  1. its a good thing that we haven’t invented metal detectors, eh?

  2. if guns are so easy to smuggle than why have gun control laws in countries like Japan had any effect? Look’s like once again your logic doesn’t jive with reality.

  3. You’ve conceded that demand is low. That alone makes it a totally different kettle of fish from the drug trade, which is basically the nation’s youth rising up against those bans.

No, we can’t. Of course the supply situation is different; guns a legal and drugs aren’t. Remember prohibition? The network for supply and distribution of alcohol changed (and rapidly) to accomodate the new laws. There is no reason to suspect that the change would be any different for guns. Further, it wouldn’t be your average adults looking for guns for self-defense; go to a place where guns a illegal and see how many otherwise law-abiding individuals own them. It would be criminals, and criminals, on average, know quite a bit about the supply and distribution system for drugs.

  1. you can’t make guns like moonshine in your bathtub.

  2. you conceded the lack of grassroots demand above. So no, there is no reason to assume that it would be like prohibition at all.

After the gun control discussion is finished we can move onto Afganistan, Iraq and North Korea. These posts are long enough as is.

Grah. I was captain of the debate team, for Christ’s sake. How come I can’t even babble my way to a halfway valid argument?

I support everything Detritus has said, since it is basically what I would have said if my brain hadn’t mysteriously turned into pudding over the last year.

First, your argument seems to be: “Free speech is limited, so you shouldn’t be allowed to own guns.” How weird.

Second, there are plenty of reasons beyond “personal preference.” You just choose to ignore them (though you seem to address them later, I’m not going to let you get away with assuming your conclusions).

Third, you have plenty to establish before you can conduct your cost/benefit “analysis.” I take it there are plenty of things that you support the right of people to own that have nothing in their favor except personal preference. Let’s take narcotic drugs, alcohol, prostitution, and potato chips. They can all kill you and achieve nothing you would call an important goal of society. Why don’t we ban them too?

Comparing guns, designed solely for the purpose of killing, with cars, or any other thing with a useful non-military application is fallacious. Perhaps if you were comparing them with tanks, you might have an argument. But it wouldn’t be the argument you’re looking for.

This argument keeps getting repeated and I don’t know that I particularly believe it. I don’t think gun manufacturers sit around and think “Let’s make these here guns so we can up and shoot some varmints.” Please.

Also, you’ll note that fishing hooks are designed solely for the purpose of killing. Do we not have a right to own fish hooks?

Tanks, on the other hand, constitute a massive threat to national security, which is why they’re not allowed. Ditto nuclear weapons, chemical/biological agents, and Patriot missiles. The next time you find someone who honestly believes that his or her state capitol can be held up by a maniac with a Glock, you be sure and let me know.

Oh, my mistake. The gun is for waving around and shooting rounds into the air. You envision yourself standing outside your store and waving a gun in the air to scare of the rioting negroes, and you wonder why I think you shouldn’t be allowed to own a gun?

Yes, because the set of people who own guns for the purpose of self-defense includes one member: Yosemite Sam. “Rackin’ frackin’ negroes…” This position of yours has proven that you are such an asshole that I needn’t respond to until you rephrase this in an appropriate manner.

Wait, what are police again?

Judge Dredd is the law. You are not.

Judge Dredd is not the law. He is a fictional character. And, in case you failed to notice, the police are more than okay with people who kill in self-defense. If they have no problem with people defending themselves, why do you?

Tanks are a far better analogy. And you can’t own one.

I’ve pointed out why I think tanks are not a particularly good analogy. Also, I notice you did not address the second part of T’s complaint. What about freedom?

Look’s like it’s statistic o’clock. Where is it empirically proven that after the removal of gun control laws, home invasions go down?

I can provide cites for gun control laws reducing murder rates internationally and domestically, and that keeping a gun in the home nearly triples the likelyhood of murder, if requested.

Note that that last point turns back your ‘deterrence’ argument. Increased murder rates show that while it might work in theory, in practice it doesn’t do shit.

Blah blah blah. We keep going back and forth about statistics about guns. I’ll let T handle this because statistics are his department (now if only I could figure out what my department actually is).

Wow, you pro-gun folks must be pretty sharp if you can measure the number of assaults that never happened because people had guns!

I suspect this is not much tougher than measuring the number of assaults that don’t happen because people don’t have guns. My guess is you measure the number of assaults when people have guns and also when they don’t. Then you compare. This isn’t exactly rocket science, you jackass.

And for U.S. cities, I know that D.C. gun control laws have reduced the murder rate there.

Oh, you know this? Then it seems only fair to ask for your sources.

  1. You’ve conceded that demand is low. That alone makes it a totally different kettle of fish from the drug trade, which is basically the nation’s youth rising up against those bans.

Actually, he conceded that demand is low for illegal guns, which I suspect is precisely because guns are still legal. Also, regardless of how high demand is, you can’t make something illegal and expect demand for it to disappear. A beginning education in economics would do you immense good, you know.

  1. you can’t make guns like moonshine in your bathtub.

That’s because guns aren’t made of liquid. Also, the state has no legitimate interest in manufacturing moonshine. Not so guns. People will still be making them no matter what, so production is hardly a problem.

Inasmuch as the U.S. is currently in charge of Iraq, any “loans” would be made without any real consent by the borrower.

Basically, what you are suggesting is that the U.S. become the international equivalent of a loan shark.

And here’s something I don’t get. You libertarians think that we shouldn’t spend taxpayer money to fix an electrical grid somewhere else in the US…but we should spend taxpayer money to fix the electrical grid…IN A WHOLE DIFFERENT NATION?

That’s pretty…cool of you guys…

I apologize about that line concerning taxpayer money spent inside the U.S. That was a side issue, a whole different debate. Actually, a few of you have (correctly) called me on this, so I would like to explain myself once and be done with it. The argument I made was not to convince me. I am already convinced, although for very different reasons. I am reasonably sure that you would not be convinced by the arguments that I am convinced by, so I created an argument to appeal to your philosophy. In other words, I was demonstrating that support for rebuilding efforts in Iraq, instead of that same money being spent in the U.S., is perfectly consistent with your own political philosophy of those who have more being made to help those who have less. The reasons stated would not, in the general case, convince me, just as my real reasons would not convince you. So, the libertarian line I inserted did not belong, and I withdraw it.

And I don’t think “God Bless America and nothing else,” but I do think: “Help Americans first, then take care of the rest of those jokers.” Blah blah, still Americans without health insurance, still Americans without adequate nutrition/homes/jobs/etc.

Let’s start from here: America’s “problems” will never be solved. There will never be a “perfect” level of any of these items, at least not because the government demands that those levels are reached. So, you are de facto taking the position of completely ignoring the issues faced by rest of the world, because Americans will never, ever be “helped” to the level that you want them to be.

Or maybe if taxes to the rich weren’t cut all to bejesus, we’d have more than enough money to rebuild Iraq, AND give poor kids in this country basic health insurance.

Cut to bejesus? They went from what, 39.6% to 35%? Or was it a smaller cut than that? You are aware, I assume, that even absent the tax cuts the U.S. would have run a sizable (on the order of 200 billion doller) deficit this past fiscal year. Therefore you are also aware that, even had taxes never been cut, the U.S. would hardly be in a position to institute a new, incredibly costly program.

Also, “the rich” is a pretty stupid term to use to describe the top tax bracket.

Feh, I’m a Huey Long populist.

A chicken in every pot, a car in every garage, a home for every family, an education for everyone who wants one, and nobody makes over a million dollars a year. Then there’d be money for everything.

I also plan to be gunned down in a sweaty Louisiana Bayou courthouse, as well…

This isn’t true. Guns are designed with the sole purpose, that is, the sole active action, of shooting. Guns do serve other roles (aesthetic, deterrent), but in the end they were designed to be shot. It does not follow, however, that they were designed for killing.

Comparing guns, designed solely for the purpose of killing, with cars, or any other thing with a useful non-military application is fallacious. Perhaps if you were comparing them with tanks, you might have an argument. But it wouldn’t be the argument you’re looking for.

You seem to have gotten lost in the rambling insanity of your own argument. The point about cars was in answer to your position that there are no good reasons to own mulitiple guns. There are also no good reasons to own multiple cars, and cars are dangerous, polluting, and require a relatively large input of resources. What I was demonstrating was that your argument was poorly defined; that is, it could be used to demonstrate that car ownership, or ownership of anything, really, should be restricted to one of each class of item.

Oh, my mistake. The gun is for waving around and shooting rounds into the air. You envision yourself standing outside your store and waving a gun in the air to scare of the rioting negroes, and you wonder why I think you shouldn’t be allowed to own a gun?

What . . . are you talking about? You are aware that riots have in fact occured in the past, yes? And that stores were looted, burned, and otherwise destroyed during said riots? These aren’t abstractions, these are peoples lives. Peoples lives were actually destroyed by these riots. “Waving a gun in the air” may have saved these stores, thereby preventing the wasteful and illegal destruction of private property that ensued.

Further, I never suggested firing the gun. In fact, it was pretty clearly suggested that one shouldn’t fire the gun, as firing it would be illegal (yes, even into the air). I was laying out a lawful way to protect a piece of property.

Also, I never mentioned “negros.” I would like to point out that it was in fact you who brought the assumption that rioters need to be negros into this debate.

Wait, what are police again?

Judge Dredd is the law. You are not.

Yeah, the police have always done a fantastic job of preventing riots, and punishing rioters afterward. No one would ever need to protect their own property.

Look’s like it’s statistic o’clock. Where is it empirically proven that after the removal of gun control laws, home invasions go down?

Well, there are a few examples of this. One is the geographical argument you’re so fond of, but since I don’t buy that I won’t get into it. For direct evidence I would suggest John Lott, More Guns, Less Crime.

I can provide cites for gun control laws reducing murder rates internationally and domestically, and that keeping a gun in the home nearly triples the likelyhood of murder, if requested.

Note that that last point turns back your ‘deterrence’ argument. Increased murder rates show that while it might work in theory, in practice it doesn’t do shit.

Again, murder is a poor crime to hinge on, as murder is hard to prevent even with a gun. Further, the statistic that a gun in the home increases the likelyhood of murder is rife with problems. I am aware of the numbers you are using, and the primary problem with them is this: the study took cases of murder, and counted those where a gun was present in the home. They calculated the percentage of the murdered population that owned a gun, and compared it to the overall population. Unfortunately, this method is statistically unsound. This is because “homes with a murder” is not a random sampling of “homes.” Most murders occur in high-crime areas, so this study was skewed because they basically had a random sample of high-crime area homes, which they compared to the entire population of homes. Now, high-crime area homes are more likely than other homes to have guns, because people in low-crime areas who don’t hunt (this is most low-crime area people, by the way) don’t feel a need to own a gun, whereas in a high-crime area people are far more likely to feel threatened. Furthermore, individuals who feel that they are in danger personally are more likely to purchase guns than other individuals. This is true both in low- and high-crime areas. So, what that statistic demonstrates is that people who feel themselves to be in some sort of specific danger and/or live in a high-crime area are likely to own guns. Big shocker, there. And, of course, as mentioned above, guns are not much protection against attempted murder, unless you spend all your time behind a sand bags with your gun trained outward.

So, that statistic tells you nothing.

Gun control is a proven solution, and it is one which avoids the domestic violence problem.

Yep. Proven to work in D.C. and Baltimore, anyway, what with those cities strict gun laws and low, low murder rates.

Wow, you pro-gun folks must be pretty sharp if you can measure the number of assaults that never happened because people had guns!

You actually don’t need to measure those, although I’m sure the number is sizable. No, I was referencing the between one and two million crimes that are stopped by private citizens each year with the aid of guns. (One million is the number reported to the Justice Department, but as using a gun for self defense is so legally suspect in many areas the lowest estimates run considerably higher than that; even the Justice Department itself figures that a good number of foiled crimes are never reported, for one reason or another. Two million is the highest estimate I have seen)

I’m not sure exactly what argument we’re trying to make here. Russia is pretty lawless right now, and frankly, the vory are still calling plenty of shots. I don’t know about Brazil.

I was making the point that comparisons across geography are senseless. Russia is lawless, yes, but compared to Japan or Great Britain so is the U.S. Laws restraining police activity are a joke in those countries compared with our own, and as such it is much more difficult (in Japan, dammed near impossible) to commit a crime and get away with it, especially a serious crime. I suspect that the latitude given police officers, and law enforcement in general, is fairly important in establishing a low crime rate. Far more important than any variation on gun policy.

And for U.S. cities, I know that D.C. gun control laws have reduced the murder rate there. I have no idea about Wyoming. Oh, and numbers of murders aren’t as relevant as percentages per population.

The murder rate in Wyoming is less than that in D.C. And I question your “knowledge” about D.C.

  1. See: Canada, Australia.
  1. that makes murder a better indicator, not a worse one, of the effectiveness of gun control. If they go down, then gun control must be having an effect on illegally owned guns.

This statement is logically unsound. Correlation does not imply causation. Of course, even if it did, I would still ask that you demonstrate a falling murder rate. Because as LPFab has mentioned, the studies we know about demonstrate a null effect on murder rate.

I don’t have armed robbery rates. Do you have some to show me?

I will again reference the book from above.

  1. its a good thing that we haven’t invented metal detectors, eh?

Yep. All cargo coming into the U.S. goes through a metal detector. Even imported metal. Look, I wasn’t suggesting that guns would be brough in by plane. I’m sure that the tried-and-true methods of bringing in drugs through the U.S.-Mexico border could easily be adapted to guns.

  1. if guns are so easy to smuggle than why have gun control laws in countries like Japan had any effect? Look’s like once again your logic doesn’t jive with reality.

Not true. Actually, the experience on other countries justifies my position. For instance, in Great Britain the occurence of criminals carrying submachine guns, not even your garden-variety hand gun or rifle, has gone up dramatically, enough so that police are becoming seriously concerned. So, Britain’s laws can’t even keep military-grade weapons out.

Gun control laws have had the effect of keeping guns out of the hands of law-abiding citizens, yes. For criminals, the fact that nobody else is armed means that, to be succesful, you don’t need a gun, so demand is low. Further, violent crime rates are independently lower in these countries(i.e., the murder rate in London was far lower than that of New York before gun control had been instituted in Great Britain), so again demand for guns is lower.

Basically, it hasn’t worked. Guns aren’t flooding the streets in those countries because few people want them, but those that do are having no real trouble in coming by them. The situation would be even worse in the U.S., where criminal demand for guns is much higher.

  1. You’ve conceded that demand is low. That alone makes it a totally different kettle of fish from the drug trade, which is basically the nation’s youth rising up against those bans.

Not . . . really. Look, a market will exist whenever demand does. The analogy with drugs shows that guns can be brought into the country. The market would then define itself around demand, just like markets always do.

  1. you can’t make guns like moonshine in your bathtub.

You don’t need to. As mentioned, guns will always be produced by someone.

  1. you conceded the lack of grassroots demand above. So no, there is no reason to assume that it would be like prohibition at all.

Okay . . . I mean, it is utterly clear that you don’t understand economics, and I don’t mean advanced theory or anything, I mean the simple premise that a market will arise to provide a product given high enough demand. Demand isn’t an issue of quantity, either; it’s an issue of price level. The price level for guns is certainly high enough to justify a market for guns, and my anology with prohibition, or with drugs, was merely to show that it was possible to get guns into the U.S. The fact that a market would exist follows directly from the fact that there is a demand for guns and a potential supply of guns. There is nothing more to it than that. There is no way to keep guns out of the U.S., short of a complete discontinuation of movement across borders.

After the gun control discussion is finished we can move onto Afganistan, Iraq and North Korea. These posts are long enough as is.

Look, you’re wrong about the market for illegal guns, so at least drop that, and shorten these posts up. One would exist, plain and simple. Further, you need to be more careful with your statistics. I’d love to seem some, but make sure that they are being used responsibly. So far, in two posts you’ve made two bogus statistical arguments.

Look, “money” doesn’t tumble magically from the sky. By this I mean production; it is all well and good to say “nobody makes over a million dollars a year,” but there are problems with this statement. Say that person Y makes two million dollars a year. They can do three things with the second million, or some combination:

  1. First, Y can sit on it, not spending it on anything. In this case the economy as a whole got something for nothing; whatever it is that this person does, “the economy” (meaning everyone minus Y) didn’t have to trade anything for it. This means that the balanced economy has an extra million dollars worth of production, whatever that may be, just thrown in.

  2. Second, Y could consume it, i.e. spend it on material goods, or services. In this case Y is allowing for a million dollars worth of work that otherwise would not have taken place

  3. Third, Y could invest it. In this case Y is directly creating jobs, and as a result the economy grows. On the whole, the best outcome for the economy is this third, where the money is saved and invested.

Now, say that you tell person Y, every dollar you make over one million I am going to take away. What this is going to get you is nothing, because Y will simply stop working after earning one million dollars. So, you’ve lost the million dollars worth of production, you’ve lost the consumption Y would have used, and you’ve lost whatever investment Y might have made, and you have gained nothing.

And this is only for the case in which Y earns all two million through labor. You will also be decreasing the incentive by many to invest their money, because the increased income from investment might all be taken from them. So, you are encouraging increased consumption, which is fine in general, but when you do it out of balance - that is, when you encourage consumption at the expense of investment - what you get is inflation.

Trot, I’m not making this stuff up. Higher savings rates lead to higher GDP’s, and lower tax rates result in higher savings rates. This is backed up both theoretically and by statistical evidence. And without a high GDP, meaning without a good deal of production, you are never going to get this chicken/car/house/education combo you want going.

Increases in GDP have been far more successful at making all of these things more widely available than short-term tax policies ever have been. If that is really the world that you want, then you should support policies that are likely to lead there, and a high-tax culture based on government give-aways is not the sound choice.

Really, I was just joking. Nobody’s a Huey Long populist anymore…except for crazy people who support the Falange party. And, well, Huey Long’s zombie.

I guess the position made sense in the 1930’s, when people were selling apples to pay their rent, banding together to foil and harrass foreclosing bankers, and thinking that that new “Bolshevism” craze might be a pretty darn good idea.

I enjoy the basic tenants of capitalism…with certain checks and balances, of course.

This is why I think FDR was our best president (besides the whole war thing), and we should do our best to find ways to resurrect the dead and bring him back, along with all those great southern Foghorn Leghorn conservative democrats who would throw themselves in front of trains before they’d let a business ignore a union (or let their daughters marry a black man). Then I could spend my summers building dams for the TVA.

Aaron, I’m pretty sure FDR’s corpse couldn’t be president. Term limits and all that. Plus, now that we have television, no one’s going to elect a zombie in a wheelchair.

That said, there are plenty of unions businesses ought to ignore. You should come hang out on campus here sometime, where the lecturers are whining because they only make $55,000 a year for working 20 hours a week. God, their lives must suck.

Also, I should hope it’s clear from this post that I have absolutely no interest in debating FDR’s value as president (other than to point out my own personal preference for Washington as best president). I’ll let T handle that if he wants.